Economics Working Papers 2023, 7(6):4-61 | DOI: 10.32725/ewp.2023.006577

European Insurance Market Analysis via a Joint Functional Clustering Method

Athanasiadis Stavros

The enlargement of the European Union (EU) to include Central and South-Eastern European countries in 2004 and 2007 launched an integration process that unifies the economies and financial markets of member states and enables the convergence of these two areas. This study focuses on analyzing the development and similarity of the European insurance sector after the EU enlargement. We study 34 European insurance markets from 2004 until 2021 based on a certain set of indicators that characterize insurance markets, such as Insurance Density, Insurance Penetration and Gross Written Premiums to name a few. With a functional clustering method applied to such indicators, we try to reveal whether there are similarities between the individual countries that could explain the European insurance market homogeneity and convergence via the EU integration process. The proposed method has also a practical importance since it provides visualization of the clustering results through the construction of global envelopes. This study supports the works of EU policy makers that have a major impact on the ability of further integration of the European insurance market.Keywords: European insurance markets,

Keywords: enlargement EU, convergence, insurance integration, insurance market indicators, functional clustering, global rank envelope
JEL classification: C38, F15, F36, G22

Received: November 30, 2023; Revised: November 30, 2023; Prepublished online: November 30, 2023; Published: June 12, 2023  Show citation

ACS AIP APA ASA Harvard Chicago Chicago Notes IEEE ISO690 MLA NLM Turabian Vancouver
Athanasiadis, S. (2023). European Insurance Market Analysis via a Joint Functional Clustering Method. Economics Working Papers7(6), 4-61. doi: 10.32725/ewp.2023.006
Download citation

References

  1. American Academy of Actuaries, 2016. Principle-based reserving: A new way to insure for life: American Academy of Actuaries [online], Available from: https://www.actuary.org/node/13473
  2. ASIMIT, V., I. KYRIAKOU, and J.P. NIELSEN., 2020. Special issue "machine learning in insurance" Risks [online]. 2020, vol. 8, no. 2, p. 54. Retrieved from: doi:10.3390/risks8020054ATHANASIADIS, S and MRKVIČKA, T, 2018, European Insurance Market Analysis: A Multivariate Clustering approach. Proceedings of the 12th International Scientific Conference INPROFORUM [online]. 2018. Available from: http://ocs.ef.jcu.cz/index.php/inproforum/INP2018ATHANASIADIS, S and MRKVIČKA, T, 2019, European insurance market analysis via functional data clustering techniques. 37th International Conference on Mathematical Methods in Economics [online]. 2019. Available from: https://mme2019.ef.jcu.cz/ Atlas Magazine, 2021. Solvency I and II [online], Available from: https://www.atlasmag.net/en/article/solvency-i-and-ii
  3. AUSSILLOUX, V., A. BÉNASSY-QUÉRÉ, C. FUEST, et al.,2017. Making the best of the European Single Market. Bruegel Policy Contribution Issue No. 3: 2017. AEI Banner [online]. 1. February 2017. Retrieved from: http://aei.pitt.edu/83988/
  4. BABUNA, P., X. YANG, A. GYILBAG, et al., 2020. The impact of COVID-19 on the insurance industry. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health [online]. 2020, vol. 17, no. 16, p. 5766. Retrieved from: doi:10.3390/ijerph17165766BECMER, Anna, 2015, The Insurance Market of Selected Countries in Central and Eastern Europe Against a Background of the EU Countries-15. In: Some Current Issues in Economics. p. 158-169. Go to original source...
  5. BUSEMEYER, M.R. and T. IVERSEN, 2020. The Welfare State with private alternatives: The transformation of popular support for Social Insurance. The Journal of Politics [online]. 2020, vol. 82, no. 2, pp. 671-686. Retrieved from: doi:10.1086/706980 Go to original source...
  6. CALIENDO, L., L.D. OPROMOLLA, F. PARRO, et al., 2021. Goods and factor market integration: A quantitative assessment of the EU enlargement. Journal of Political Economy [online]. 2021, vol. 129, no. 12, pp. 3491-3545. Retrieved from: doi:10.1086/716560CHEUNG, Zedric, 2020, Factor Analysis & Cluster Analysis on countries classification. LaptrinhX [online]. 2020. Available from: https://laptrinhx.com/factor-analysis-cluster-analysison-countries-classification-2738054554/ CLARK, Matthew, 2009, Uncertainties, Challenges and Opportunities of Global Insurance Regulatory Convergence. Risk Management. 2009. No. 15, p. 49-51. DAI, Wenlin, ATHANASIADIS, Stavros and MRKVIČKA, Tomáš, 2021, A new functional clustering method with combined dissimilarity sources and graphical interpretation. Computational Statistics and Applications. 2021. DOI 10.5772/intechopen.100124. Go to original source...
  7. DAI, Wenlin, MRKVIČKA, Tomáš, SUN, Ying and GENTON, Marc G., 2020, Functional outlier detection and taxonomy by Sequential Transformations. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis. 2020. Vol. 149, p. 106960. DOI 10.1016/j.csda.2020.106960. Go to original source...
  8. DENKOWSKA, A. and S. WANAT, 2020. Development and similarity of insurance markets of European Union countries after the enlargement in 2004. arXiv.org [online]. 2020. Retrieved from: https://arxiv.org/abs/2012.15078 DREW, Catherine and SRISKANDARAJAH, Dhananjayan, 2007, EU enlargement in 2007: No warm welcome for Labor migrants. migrationpolicy.org [online]. 2007. Available from: https://www.migrationpolicy.org/article/eu-enlargement-2007-no-warm-welcome-labormigrants/ DOFF, René, 2016, The final solvency II framework: Will it be effective? The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice. 2016. Vol. 41, no. 4, p. 587-607. DOI 10.1057/gpp.2016.4. EIOPA, 2020. Annual report 2020 [online], Available from: https://www.eiopa.europa.eu/publications/annual-report-2020_en EIOPA, 2022. Pan-European personal pension product (PEPP) [online], Available from: https://www.eiopa.europa.eu/browse/regulation-and-policy/pan-european-personal-pension-product-pepp_en#:~:text=The%20pan%2DEuropean%20Personal%20Pension,to%20existing%20national%20pension%20regimes.
  9. ENNSFELLNER, Karl C. and DORFMAN, Mark S., 1998, The transition to a single insurance market in the European Union. Risk Management and Insurance Review. 1998. Vol. 1, no. 2, p. 35-53. DOI 10.1111/j.1540-6296.1998.tb00071.x. European Commission, 2014. European Financial Stability and Integration Review (EFSIR) [online], Available from: https://ec.europa.eu/info/sites/default/files/efsir-2013-28042014_en.pdf European Commission, 2021. Reviewing EU insurance rules: Encouraging insurers to invest in Europe's future [online], Available from: https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/ip_21_4783 European Commission, 2015. Solvency II overview - frequently asked questions [online], Available from: https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/MEMO_15_3120 FRANZETTI, Claudio, 2021, Insurance background. Management for Professionals. 2021. P. 73-85. DOI 10.1007/978-3-030-70285-4_3.
  10. FOURNIER, J.-M., A. DOMPS, Y. GORIN, et al., 2015. Implicit regulatory barriers in the EU Single Market. OECD iLibrary [online]. 2015. Retrieved from: https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/economics/implicit-regulatory-barriers-in-the-eu-single-market_5js7xj0xckf6-en FÁVERO, L.P. and P. BELFIORE, 2019. Cluster analysis. Data Science for Business and Decision Making [online]. 2019, pp. 311-382. Retrieved from: doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-811216-8.00011-2 Go to original source...
  11. GAGANIS, C., I. HASAN, P. PAPADIMITRI, et al., 2019. National culture and risk-taking: Evidence from the insurance industry. Journal of Business Research [online]. 2019, vol. 97, pp. 104-116. Retrieved from: doi:10.1016/j.jbusres.2018.12.037 GROUT, Paul A, 2021, Ai, ML, and competition dynamics in Financial Markets. Oxford Review of Economic Policy. 2021. Vol. 37, no. 3, p. 618-635. DOI 10.1093/oxrep/grab014. HAHN, Ute, 2015, A note on simultaneous Monte Carlo tests. Technical report, Centre for Stochastic Geometry and advanced Bioimaging, Aarhus University [online]. 2015. Available from: https://math.au.dk/en/forskning/publikationer/instituttets-serier/arkiv/csgb/publication/publication/1042?cHash=21999b2712c9bf1f0bc928952cf35e1c HAN, Liyan, LI, Donghui, MOSHIRIAN, Fariborz and TIAN, Yanhui, 2010, Insurance development and economic growth. The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice. 2010. Vol. 35, no. 2, p. 183-199. DOI 10.1057/gpp.2010.4.
  12. HEIDBREDER, E.G., 2011. The impact of expansion on European Union institutions the eastern touch on Brussels. New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2011. Go to original source...
  13. HENNIG, Christian and LIAO, Tim F., 2013, How to find an appropriate clustering for mixed-type variables with application to socio-economic stratification. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics. 2013. Vol. 62, no. 3, p. 309-369. DOI 10.1111/j.1467-9876.2012.01066.x. HILPISCH, Yves, 2020, Artificial Intelligence in finance: A python-based guide. Sebastopol (Calif.): O'Reilly Media. HLÁSKOVÁ, Gabriela and MRKVIČKA, Tomáš, 2022, Functional cluster regression for commodities and the representatives of stock indexes. DIGITALIZATION. Society and Markets, Business and Public Administration. 2022. DOI 10.32725/978-80-7394-976-1.33. IN 'T VELD, J., 2019. The economic benefits of the EU Single Market in goods and services. Journal of Policy Modeling [online]. 2019, vol. 41, no. 5, pp. 803-818. Retrieved from: doi:10.1016/j.jpolmod.2019.06.004
  14. JARROW, Robert A., 2021. The economics of insurance: A derivatives-based approach. Annual Review of Financial Economics [online]. 2021, vol. 13, no. 1, pp. 79-110. Retrieved from: doi:10.1146/annurev-financial-040721-075128 Go to original source...
  15. JAGRIC, T., S. BOJNEC, and V. JAGRIC, 2018. A map of the European Insurance Sector - are there any borders? ECONOMIC COMPUTATION AND ECONOMIC CYBERNETICS STUDIES AND RESEARCH [online]. 2018, vol. 52, no. 2/2018, pp. 283-298. Retrieved from: doi:10.24818/18423264/52.2.18.17 Go to original source...
  16. JAGRIC, T. and M. ZUNKO, 2013. Neural network world: Optimized spiral spherical SOM (OSS-SOM). Neural Network World [online]. 2013, vol. 23, no. 5, pp. 411-426. Retrieved from: doi:10.14311/nnw.2013.23.025 Go to original source...
  17. KAUFMAN, Leonard and ROUSSEEUW, Peter J., 1990, Finding groups in Data. Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics. 1990. DOI 10.1002/9780470316801. Go to original source...
  18. KIRMAN, A., 2006. Heterogeneity in Economics. Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination [online]. 2006, vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 89-117. Retrieved from: doi:10.1007/s11403-006-0005-8 Go to original source...
  19. KUMAR, Dheeraj and BEZDEK, James C., 2020, Visual approaches for exploratory data analysis: A survey of the visual assessment of Clustering Tendency (VAT) family of algorithms. IEEE Systems, Man, and Cybernetics Magazine. 2020. Vol. 6, no. 2, p. 10-48. DOI 10.1109/msmc.2019.2961163. Go to original source...
  20. KWON, W. Jean and WOLFROM, Leigh, 2016, Analytical tools for the insurance market and macro-prudential surveillance. OECD Journal: Financial Market Trends. 2016. Vol. 2016, no. 1, p. 1-47. DOI 10.1787/fmt-2016-5jln6hnvwdzn. KÖHNE, Thomas and BRÖMMELMEYER, Christoph, 2018, The new insurance distribution regulation in the EU-a critical assessment from a legal and Economic Perspective. The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice. 2018. Vol. 43, no. 4, p. 704-739. DOI 10.1057/s41288-018-0089-0. LIN, Chuyuan, 2019, Unsupervised Learning on Functional Data with an Application to the Analysis of U.S. Temperature Prediction Accuracy. thesis. Greater Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada: Simon Fraser University.
  21. LIU, R., C. ZHANG, and T. FENG, 2021. Fusion analysis of economic data of the medical and health industry based on blockchain technology and two-way spectral cluster analysis. Mobile Information Systems [online]. 2021, vol. 2021, pp. 1-12. Retrieved from: doi:10.1155/2021/7731387 LÉGER, Ainhoa-Elena and MAZZUCO, Stefano, 2021, What can we learn from the functional clustering of mortality data? an application to the Human Mortality Database. European Journal of Population. 2021. Vol. 37, no. 4-5, p. 769-798. DOI 10.1007/s10680-021- 09588-y. MA, Hongyan, 2021, The role of clustering algorithm-based big data processing in Information Economy Development. PLOS ONE. 2021. Vol. 16, no. 3. DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0246718.MARDANEH, Karim K, 2015, Functional specialisation and socio-economic factors in population change: A clustering study in non-metropolitan Australia. Urban Studies. 2015. Vol. 53, no. 8, p. 1591-1616. DOI 10.1177/0042098015577340. MARTÍ, Pablo, SERRANO-ESTRADA, Leticia, NOLASCO-CIRUGEDA, Almudena and BAEZA, Jesús López, 2021, Revisiting the spatial definition of neighborhood boundaries: Functional clusters versus administrative neighborhoods. Journal of Urban Technology. 2021. Vol. 29, no. 3, p. 73-94. DOI 10.1080/10630732.2021.1930837.
  22. MCGEE, A., 2020. Single market in insurance: Breaking down the barriers. S.l.: ROUTLEDGE, 2020. Go to original source...
  23. MÜLLER-REICHART, M., 2005. The EU insurance industry: Are we heading for an ideal single financial services market? The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice [online]. 2005, vol. 30, no. 2, pp. 285-295. Retrieved from: doi:10.1057/palgrave.gpp.2510027 Go to original source...
  24. NARISETTY, Naveen N. and NAIR, Vijayan N., 2016, Extremal depth for functional data and applications. Journal of the American Statistical Association. 2016. Vol. 111, no. 516, p. 1705-1714. DOI 10.1080/01621459.2015.1110033. MRKVIČKA, Tomáš, MYLLYMÄKI, Mari, JÍLEK, Milan and HAHN, Ute, 2020, A one-way ANOVA test for functional data with graphical interpretation. Kybernetika. 2020. P. 432-458. DOI 10.14736/kyb-2020-3-0432. MRKVICKA, Tomas, MYLLYMAKI, Mari, KURONEN, Mikko and NARISETTY, Naveen Naidu, 2019, New methods for multiple testing in permutation inference for the general linear model. arXiv.org [online]. 2019. Available from: https://arxiv.org/abs/1906.09004 MYLLYMÄKI, Mari and MRKVIČKA, Tomáš, 2020, Comparison of non-parametric global envelopes. arXiv.org [online]. 2020. Available from: https://arxiv.org/abs/2008.09650v1 MYLLYMÄKI, Mari and MRKVIČKA, Tomáš, 2023, GET: Global envelopes in R. arXiv.org [online]. 2023. Available from: https://arxiv.org/abs/1911.06583 MYLLYMÄKI, Mari, MRKVIČKA, Tomáš, GRABARNIK, Pavel, SEIJO, Henri and HAHN, Ute, 2017, Global envelope tests for spatial processes. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology. 2017. Vol. 79, no. 2, p. 381-404. DOI 10.1111/rssb.12172.OSTROWSKA-DANKIEWICZ, Anna and SIMIONESCU, Mihaela, 2020, Relationship between the insurance market and macroeconomic indicators in the EU member states. Transformations in Business & Economics. 2020. Vol. 19, no. 3, p. 175-187. PELECKIENĖ, V., K. PELECKIS, G. DUDZEVIČIŪTĖ, et al., 2019. The relationship between insurance and economic growth: Evidence from the European Union countries. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja [online]. 2019, vol. 32, no. 1, pp. 1138-1151. Retrieved from: doi:10.1080/1331677x.2019.1588765
  25. POLAŃSKI, P.P., 2018. Revisiting country of origin principle: Challenges related to regulating e-commerce in the European Union. Computer Law & Security Review [online]. 2018, vol. 34, no. 3, pp. 562-581. Retrieved from: doi:10.1016/j.clsr.2017.11.001 Go to original source...
  26. PUŁAWSKA, K., 2021. Financial Stability of European insurance companies during the COVID-19 pandemic. Journal of Risk and Financial Management [online]. 2021, vol. 14, no. 6, p. 266. Retrieved from: doi:10.3390/jrfm14060266 Go to original source...
  27. SEDELMEIER, U., 2014. Europe after the eastern enlargement of the European Union: 2004-2014: Heinrich Böll stiftung: Brussels Office - European Union. Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung [online]. 2014. Retrieved from: https://eu.boell.org/en/2014/06/10/europe-after-eastern-enlargement-european-union-2004-2014
  28. SHEVCHUK, O., I. KONDRAT, and J. STANIENDA., 2020. Pandemic as an accelerator of digital transformation in the insurance industry: Evidence from Ukraine. Insurance Markets and Companies [online]. 2020, vol. 11, no. 1, pp. 30-41. Retrieved from: doi:10.21511/ins.11(1).2020.04 Go to original source...
  29. SINGH, D., 2021. The ECB Guide to internal liquidity adequacy: A principles-based approach. SSRN Electronic Journal [online]. 2021. Retrieved from: doi:10.2139/ssrn.3846317SUGIMOTO, Nobuyasu and WINDSOR, Peter, 2020, Regulatory and Supervisory Response to Deal with Coronavirus Impact: The Insurance Sector. Special series on covid-19 [online]. 2020. Available from: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/SPROLLs/covid19-specialnotes Swiss Re Sigma database, 2021. Sigma Explorer - catastrophe and insurance market data [online], Available from: https://www.sigma-explorer.com/
  30. TOSHKOV, D.D., 2017. The impact of the eastern enlargement on the decision-making capacity of the European Union. Journal of European Public Policy [online]. 2017, vol. 24, no. 2, pp. 177-196. Retrieved from: doi:10.1080/13501763.2016.1264081TSEPENDA, Igor and HURAK, İhor, 2021, Perspectives of the EU membership for Ukraine: The main challenges and threats. İnsan ve Toplum Bilimleri Araştirmalari Dergisi [online]. 2021. Available from: https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/itobiad/issue/60435/880128 VAGNOZZI, Anna Marie, 2020, Detecting Partisan Gerrymandering through Mathematical Analysis: A Case Study of South Carolina. All Theses. 3347 [online]. 2020. Available from: https://tigerprints.clemson.edu/all_theses/3347 Go to original source...
  31. WARSAME, Mohamed A., 2021, Clustering algorithms for economic policy guidance. Medium [online]. 2021. [Accessed 2023]. Available from: https://towardsdatascience.com/clustering-algorithms-for-economic-policy-guidance-45f469704815 WEINGARTH, Janina, HAGENSCHULTE, Julian, SCHMIDT, Nikolaus and BALSER, Markus, 2019, Building a digitally enabled future: An insurance industry case study on Digitalization. Management for Professionals. 2019. P. 249-269. DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-95273-4_13. Wilson Center, 2004. European Union enlargement: Pushing the Frontiers of Cooperation [online], Available from: https://www.wilsoncenter.org/article/european-union-enlargementpushing-the-frontiers-cooperation ZHU, Zhangyao and LIU, Na, 2021, Early warning of financial risk based on K-means clustering algorithm. Complexity. 2021. Vol. 2021, p. 1-12. DOI 10.1155/2021/5571683. ZLATEVA, Ioanna, 2022, O solvency [online]. 2022. Available from
  32. https://www.scribd.com/document/490515795/o-solvency

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0), which permits use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original publication is properly cited. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.